{"entity":{"id":"paper-tomasetti-science","kind":"paper","name":"Cancer etiology. Variation in cancer risk among tissues can be explained by the number of stem cell divisions","aka":[],"tldr":"Paper cited by one term page, indexed on Europe PMC as PubMed record 25554788 and published in Science; the citing page links this DOI, which is how the record was matched.","summary":"Some tissue types give rise to human cancers millions of times more often than other tissue types. Although this has been recognized for more than a century, it has never been explained. Here, we show that the lifetime risk of cancers of many different types is strongly correlated (0.81) with the total number of divisions of the normal self-renewing cells maintaining that tissue's homeostasis. These results suggest that only a third of the variation in cancer risk among tissues is attributable to environmental factors or inherited predispositions. The majority is due to \"bad luck,\" that is, random mutations arising during DNA replication in normal, noncancerous stem cells. This is important not only for understanding the disease but also for designing strategies to limit the mortality it causes.\n\nIndexed on Europe PMC as PubMed record 25554788 (DOI 10.1126/science.1260825). Matched by DOI alone: one term page cites this DOI among its external links (the pages are listed under Related), and this page was written so that the citation resolves inside OnCo. No figure has been checked by an editor.","asOf":"2026-09-22","links":[{"label":"Science 2015","url":"https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1260825"},{"label":"PubMed","url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25554788/"},{"label":"Europe PMC","url":"https://europepmc.org/article/MED/25554788"}],"tags":["europepmc-ingest"],"related":["somatic-mutation-theory"],"cancers":[],"sections":[],"technologies":[],"targets":[],"drugs":[],"companies":[],"institutions":[],"pathways":[],"terms":[],"trials":[],"people":[],"bottlenecks":[],"keyPapers":[],"journals":["science"],"dependsOn":[],"notes":[],"journal":"Science","year":2015,"doi":"10.1126/science.1260825","pmid":"25554788","authors":"Tomasetti C, Vogelstein B","paperType":"observational","findings":[],"whatItMeans":"One term page on OnCo cites this paper by its DOI; this record gives the citation a page of its own so a reader can follow it without leaving OnCo. Read the abstract above alongside the citing page listed under Related; the record was created automatically from the Europe PMC entry and its figures have not been checked by hand.","caveats":["Matched to the citing OnCo records by DOI alone; the summary reproduces the Europe PMC abstract and no figure has been verified against the full paper."]},"route":"/key-papers/paper-tomasetti-science/","neighbours":{"term":[{"id":"somatic-mutation-theory","kind":"term","name":"Somatic mutation theory of cancer","route":"/terms/somatic-mutation-theory/"}],"journal":[{"id":"science","kind":"journal","name":"Science","route":"/journals/science/"}]}}