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IMpassion131

IMpassion131 was the sister trial to the first immunotherapy success in breast cancer. It failed, and the approval it was meant to confirm was withdrawn.

IMpassion130 (nab-paclitaxel partner) had shown a PFS benefit in PD-L1-positive metastatic TNBC and won accelerated approval in 2019. IMpassion131 used conventional paclitaxel (which requires steroid premedication) and showed no PFS or OS benefit; OS trended worse in the atezolizumab arm. Roche withdrew the US TNBC indication in 2021. Pembrolizumab with chemotherapy (KEYNOTE-355) became the standard instead.

Lesson: the chemotherapy partner (steroid premedication, immunogenic cell death profile) and the PD-L1 assay (SP142 vs 22C3) can decide an immunotherapy trial; confirmatory trials must replicate the winning design.

Setting
First-line metastatic TNBC: atezolizumab + paclitaxel vs paclitaxel
Phase
Phase 3
Sponsor
Roche
Registry
Headline result
PFS HR 0.82 (not significant); OS trend unfavourable; US indication withdrawn 2021.
Reported
2020
Enrolled
651
Replication
Failed to replicate IMpassion130; the discordance is attributed to the taxane partner (steroid premedication with paclitaxel) and chance.

Outcomes

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In plain words
What these results mean for people, not percentages
651 people took part
Progression-free survival, PD-L1+ (investigator)primarysurrogate endpoint
  • Median 6 vs 5.7 months with Atezolizumab + paclitaxel compared with Placebo + paclitaxel; about 0.3 months longer for half the group.
  • A median is a midpoint: half the people did better than this and half did worse, so it is not a prediction for any one person.
  • Put another way, the treated group had about 18 percent lower chance of the event at any given time (hazard ratio 0.82, likely range 0.6 to 1.12).
  • This is a surrogate endpoint: it measures the cancer being controlled or absent on scans and tests, which often, but not always, translates into living longer.
  • Not significant.
Overall survival, PD-L1+survival endpoint
  • Median 22.1 vs 28.3 months with Atezolizumab + paclitaxel compared with Placebo + paclitaxel; about 6.2 months shorter for half the group.
  • A median is a midpoint: half the people did better than this and half did worse, so it is not a prediction for any one person.
  • Put another way, the treated group had about 11 percent higher chance of the event at any given time (hazard ratio 1.11, likely range 0.76 to 1.64).
  • Overall survival counts deaths from any cause, so it is the most direct measure of whether a treatment helps people live longer.
Be careful
  • The likely range for the hazard ratio crosses 1, so the difference could be due to chance.
  • These results apply to the people the trial enrolled: First-line metastatic TNBC: atezolizumab + paclitaxel vs paclitaxel. People in a different situation may not see the same effect.

Numbers are from the trial as recorded here; see the source links in the table below. This is orientation, not medical advice: ask your team how closely the trial population matches you.

651 participants enrolled.

Progression-free survival, PD-L1+ (investigator)primary
HR 0.82 (0.6–1.12) · p = 0.20
Atezolizumab + paclitaxel
6 mo
Placebo + paclitaxel
5.7 mo

Not significant

Source
Overall survival, PD-L1+
HR 1.11 (0.76–1.64)
Atezolizumab + paclitaxel
22.1 mo
Placebo + paclitaxel
28.3 mo

Numerically unfavourable

Source
EndpointArmnValueHR (95% CI)pSource
Progression-free survival, PD-L1+ (investigator)primaryAtezolizumab + paclitaxel1916 months0.82 (0.6–1.12)0.20link
Placebo + paclitaxel1015.7 months
Overall survival, PD-L1+Atezolizumab + paclitaxel22.1 months1.11 (0.76–1.64)link
Placebo + paclitaxel28.3 months
Replication
Failed to replicate IMpassion130; the discordance is attributed to the taxane partner (steroid premedication with paclitaxel) and chance.

Connected

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