OnCo
trialsTrialMixed

LEAP-012

Adding lenvatinib and pembrolizumab to TACE delayed progression by four and a half months but did not help patients live longer.

PFS 14.6 vs 10.0 months (HR 0.66); grade ≥3 adverse events 71% vs 32%; final OS HR 0.98 (2026). The clearest demonstration that PFS is a poor surrogate in TACE-combination trials.

Setting
Unresectable non-metastatic HCC: TACE + lenvatinib + pembrolizumab vs TACE + placebo
Phase
Phase 3
Sponsor
Merck / Eisai
Registry
Headline result
PFS HR 0.66; final OS HR 0.98.
Reported
2024
Enrolled
480

Outcomes

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In plain words
What these results mean for people, not percentages
480 people took part
Progression-free survivalprimarysurrogate endpoint
  • Median 14.6 vs 10 months with TACE + lenvatinib + pembrolizumab compared with TACE + placebo; about 4.6 months longer for half the group.
  • A median is a midpoint: half the people did better than this and half did worse, so it is not a prediction for any one person.
  • Put another way, the treated group had about 34 percent lower chance of the event at any given time (hazard ratio 0.66).
  • The p-value (0.0002) says a difference this large would rarely happen by chance; it does not say how large or how useful the difference is.
  • This is a surrogate endpoint: it measures the cancer being controlled or absent on scans and tests, which often, but not always, translates into living longer.
Overall survival (final)primarysurvival endpoint
  • The treated group had about 2 percent lower chance of the event at any given time (hazard ratio 0.98).
  • The absolute difference, how many more people out of 100 were helped, is not reported here.
  • Overall survival counts deaths from any cause, so it is the most direct measure of whether a treatment helps people live longer.
Be careful
  • These results apply to the people the trial enrolled: Unresectable non-metastatic HCC: TACE + lenvatinib + pembrolizumab vs TACE + placebo. People in a different situation may not see the same effect.

Numbers are from the trial as recorded here; see the source links in the table below. This is orientation, not medical advice: ask your team how closely the trial population matches you.

480 participants enrolled.

Progression-free survivalprimary
HR 0.66 · p = 0.0002
TACE + lenvatinib + pembrolizumab
14.6 mo
TACE + placebo
10 mo
Overall survival (final)primary
HR 0.98

Numbers not yet public.

EndpointArmnValueHR (95% CI)pSource
Progression-free survivalprimaryTACE + lenvatinib + pembrolizumab14.6 months0.660.0002
TACE + placebo10 months
Overall survival (final)primaryTACE + lenvatinib + pembrolizumab0.98
TACE + placebo

Connected

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