Primary, secondary and co-primary endpoints
The primary endpoint is the single measurement a trial is designed and sized to test, declared in advance; if it is met, the trial is 'positive'. Secondary endpoints are additional measures that can support but not rescue a trial that missed its primary.
Common oncology primary endpoints are overall survival, progression-free survival (often by blinded central review), event-free or disease-free survival, objective response rate, and pathological complete response; dual or co-primary endpoints (PFS and OS) split the type I error between them with hierarchical testing. A trial that misses its primary but shows a survival trend is 'technically negative' (BILCAP, JAVELIN Ovarian) and regulators rarely approve on secondary endpoints alone. Endpoint choice shapes approval speed (surrogates are faster) and interpretation, and changing the primary endpoint mid-trial, or reporting a secondary as if it were primary, are recognised warning signs.
Pages like this
not linked directly; found by shared links- TermLandmark and milestone survival (5-year survival, median follow-up)
Shares Interim analysis, readout and data cut-off, Data maturity (immature vs mature survival data), Overall survival (OS), Progression-free survival (PFS).
- TermSubgroup analysis (forest plots)
Shares Pre-specified vs post-hoc analysis, Statistical significance (P values, alpha, multiplicity).
- TermCrossover in trials
Shares Surrogate endpoint, Overall survival (OS), Progression-free survival (PFS).
- TermConfirmatory trial
- TermTime to progression (TTP) and time to next treatment (TTNT)
Shares Event-free / disease-free survival (EFS, DFS, iDFS, RFS), Overall survival (OS), Progression-free survival (PFS).
- TermSingle-arm trial
Shares Pivotal (registrational) trial, Objective response rate (ORR).
- TermEndpoint
Shares Event-free / disease-free survival (EFS, DFS, iDFS, RFS), Objective response rate (ORR), Overall survival (OS), Progression-free survival (PFS).
- TermSurrogate endpoint
Shares Objective response rate (ORR), Overall survival (OS), Progression-free survival (PFS).