OnCo
bottlenecksBottleneck

Cold tumours and the immunosuppressive microenvironment

Most tumours keep the immune system out or asleep, so immunotherapy helps only a minority.

Checkpoint blockade is the most important therapeutic advance of the last two decades, yet it works durably in a minority of patients and barely at all in several of the biggest killers. Pancreatic, prostate, most breast and microsatellite-stable colorectal cancers and glioblastoma are 'cold': few infiltrating T cells, low neoantigen load, dense desmoplastic stroma, abundant myeloid suppressor cells and regulatory T cells, hypoxia, and metabolic competition that starves effector cells. Even in 'hot' tumours, exhaustion and antigen loss limit durability. The field has many candidate mechanisms and many single-agent attempts (IDO, TIGIT, STING agonists, oncolytic viruses, CD47) that have failed in phase 3 because the biology of each tumour's exclusion is different and largely unmeasured. Converting cold tumours, or bypassing the microenvironment with engineered cells, bispecifics and radioligands, is the central strategic problem in immuno-oncology.

criticalbiology30 ideas to fix it
How big the problem is
43.6%
US patients with cancer eligible for a checkpoint inhibitor (2018)
12.5%
US patients with cancer estimated to respond to a checkpoint inhibitor (2018)
16.5 vs 8.2 months
Median progression-free survival with pembrolizumab vs chemotherapy in MSI-high colorectal cancer (KEYNOTE-177), showing the gain when a cold cancer is immunogenic
Root causes
  • Low mutational burden yields few neoantigens for T cells to recognise.
  • Desmoplastic stroma and abnormal vasculature physically exclude lymphocytes.
  • Myeloid-derived suppressor cells, tumour-associated macrophages and regulatory T cells actively switch off effector cells.
  • Hypoxia, lactate, adenosine and nutrient depletion in the tumour disable T-cell metabolism.
  • Loss of MHC class I and antigen-presentation machinery makes tumours invisible even when T cells are present.
  • Combination trials have mostly added agents empirically without a biomarker for the specific exclusion mechanism.
What is already being tried
  • T-cell engagers and CAR-T bypass the need for endogenous priming; tarlatamab (DLL3) and mesothelin or GD2 CAR-T show that engineered T cells can act in solid tumours.
  • STING agonists, oncolytic viruses (RP1, T-VEC) and photoimmunotherapy are being tested as in situ vaccines to turn cold lesions hot.
  • FAP-targeted radioligands and FAP theranostics attack the fibroblast stroma directly.
  • Neoantigen mRNA vaccines (Moderna/Merck intismeran, BioNTech autogene cevumeran) aim to generate T-cell responses where none exist, including in pancreatic cancer.
  • Trials in MSS colorectal cancer combine checkpoint blockade with VEGF, MEK or bispecific agents, and NICHE-2 showed dramatic neoadjuvant responses in dMMR disease.
  • Spatial transcriptomics and multiplex imaging (10x Genomics, Human Cell Atlas) are being used to classify exclusion mechanisms per tumour.
What breaking it looks like
A biomarker-defined strategy produces durable responses in a majority of patients with pancreatic, prostate, MSS colorectal or glioblastoma, and the fraction of all cancer patients who respond to immunotherapy rises from roughly one in eight to a majority.

Ideas to fix it

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preclinical evidenceindustrymedium cost
Anchor a TGF-beta trap in the tumour stroma so it cannot act everywhere

A powerful immune-suppressing signal called TGF-beta keeps immune cells out of tumours, but blocking it throughout the body causes heart and skin problems. Tethering the blocker inside the tumour could give benefit without the harm.

preclinical evidenceindustrymedium cost
Bispecific antibodies that engage macrophages instead of T cells

Drugs that grab T cells and drag them onto tumours work well in blood cancers. The same trick aimed at tumour-eating cells might work where T cells are absent.

preclinical evidenceresearchmedium cost
Block the complement signal that recruits tumour-protecting cells

An old part of the immune system called complement can be hijacked by tumours to summon protective cells. Drugs that block it already exist for other diseases.

preclinical evidenceresearchmedium cost
Block the survival signals the tumour's neighbours provide

Cancer cells can survive a drug because surrounding normal cells feed them growth signals. Blocking those signals could make existing drugs work better and longer.

early clinicalindustrymedium cost
Clear the suppressive neutrophils out of pancreatic tumours first

Pancreatic tumours are packed with a type of white blood cell that shuts down the immune attack. Blocking the signal that recruits them may open the tumour to immunotherapy.

preclinical evidenceresearchmedium cost
De-acidify the tumour so T cells can work in it

Tumours are acidic, and immune cells stop working in acid. Neutralising that acid, or blocking the pumps that create it, might let immunotherapy work.

preclinical evidenceresearchmedium cost
Drag cancer's surface and secreted proteins to the cell's recycling bin

Some cancer proteins sit on the cell surface or float outside cells, where protein-destroying drugs cannot reach. A different trick can drag them inside to be broken down.

preclinical evidenceindustrymedium cost
Engineered bacteria that live in tumours and manufacture drugs there

Some harmless bacteria naturally grow in the low-oxygen core of tumours. Engineering them to produce immune-activating drugs turns them into tiny factories inside the tumour.

speculativeresearchlarge cost
Engineered immune surveillance: long-lived programmed immune cells that patrol for early cancer

For people at very high cancer risk, install a small population of engineered immune cells that live for years and destroy cells showing early cancer signals before a tumour forms.

preclinical evidenceresearchmedium cost
Grow immune command posts inside tumours

Tumours that contain small immune structures resembling lymph nodes respond far better to immunotherapy. Inducing those structures on purpose could make cold tumours responsive.

early clinicalengineeringmedium cost
Implant a tiny device that tests twenty drugs inside the patient's own tumour

A rice-grain-sized implant can release small doses of many different drugs into separate spots of a tumour, then be removed so doctors can see which one worked in that person.

preclinical evidenceresearchmedium cost
Inhaled immune therapy to make the lung hostile to arriving tumour cells

Breathing in an immune-activating drug could turn the lungs into bad soil for cancer seeds, at doses far too low to cause body-wide side-effects.

early clinicalresearchmedium cost
Losartan to loosen the stroma of pancreatic cancer before chemotherapy: a phase 3

A cheap blood pressure drug may soften the dense scar tissue around pancreatic tumours so chemotherapy and immune cells can get in. Early trials look encouraging.

preclinical evidenceresearchlarge cost
Make every cold tumour hot: a coordinated programme to reprogramme immune-excluded tumours

Immunotherapy works in tumours that immune cells can enter and ignores those that shut them out. Systematically test ways to open up the shut-out tumours, measured with spatial maps.

speculativeresearchmedium cost
Match therapy to the type of scar-forming cell in the tumour

The support cells that build a tumour's scaffolding come in several types: some protect the tumour, others restrain it. Treating all of them the same way explains past failures.

early clinicalclinicmedium cost
Mechanically pulverise one tumour with ultrasound to wake the immune system

Focused ultrasound can break a tumour apart without heat or cuts, leaving debris the immune system can learn from. Doing that to one tumour may help treat the rest.

early clinicalindustrymedium cost
Oncolytic viruses that make interleukin-12 only inside the tumour

Interleukin-12 is one of the most powerful immune stimulants but is too toxic to inject into the bloodstream. A virus can be engineered to make it only inside a tumour.

preclinical evidenceclinicmedium cost
Pick the radiation dose that switches the immune alarm on, not off

Radiation can alert the immune system, but too big a single dose destroys the very alarm signal it creates. Picking the right dose and schedule may be free extra benefit.

early clinicalindustrymedium cost
Reprogramme suppressive macrophages instead of trying to delete them

Tumours fill with immune cells that protect them. Earlier drugs tried to remove those cells and failed. Newer ones aim to switch them to the attacking side.

preclinical evidenceresearchmedium cost
Reprogramme the liver's own immune cells to refuse metastases

The liver is where bowel cancer most often spreads. Drugs delivered straight into the liver's blood supply could retrain its resident immune cells to reject arriving cancer cells.

early clinicalresearchmedium cost
Take faecal transplant plus immunotherapy to a definitive trial

Transferring gut bacteria from patients who responded to immunotherapy has helped some patients who had stopped responding. It is time for a proper large trial.

early clinicalresearchmedium cost
Test a high-fibre diet as an immunotherapy adjunct

People who eat more fibre appear to respond better to immunotherapy, while some probiotic supplements may do the opposite. A proper trial would settle it.

speculativeresearchmedium cost
Test protein and resistance training during immunotherapy

Muscle is an immune organ as well as a movement organ. Building it during immunotherapy might improve how well the treatment works, not just how patients feel.

preclinical evidenceresearchmedium cost
Train the bone marrow to make better anti-tumour immune cells

Certain vaccines and fungal sugars reprogramme the bone marrow so it produces more aggressive immune cells for months. That could be used before immunotherapy.

early clinicalclinicmedium cost
Treat the body cavity, not the bloodstream, for surface spread

Intracavitary immunotherapy targets cancer that coats the lining of the abdomen or chest, which drugs given by drip barely reach. Delivering it straight into the cavity gives far higher local doses.

early clinicalclinicmedium cost
Treat the draining lymph node before removing it

The first lymph node cancer reaches is also where the immune system learns to fight it. Injecting immunotherapy into that node before surgery, instead of removing it blindly, may work better.

early clinicalresearchmedium cost
Turn one tumour into a vaccine to treat all the others

Injecting immune-activating agents into a single tumour, plus a small dose of radiation, can teach the immune system to attack tumours elsewhere in the body.

early clinicalresearchmedium cost
Unmask hidden antigens with a short epigenetic course before immunotherapy

Low doses of drugs that change how DNA is packaged can make cancer cells display more of what marks them as abnormal, potentially waking up immunotherapy in cold tumours.

early clinicalindustrymedium cost
Use a hypoxia scan to pick patients for adenosine-pathway drugs

Tumours starved of oxygen produce a chemical that switches immune cells off. A scan can show which tumours are starved, and those are the ones to treat with blockers.

early clinicalclinicmedium cost
Use imaging to find the window when tumour blood vessels are working properly

Low doses of anti-blood-vessel drugs briefly make tumour vessels work better, which helps immune cells and other drugs get in. Scans can find that window for each patient.

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Anchor a TGF-beta trap in the tumour stroma so it cannot act everywhereBispecific antibodies that engage macrophages instead of T cellsBlock the complement signal that recruits tumour-protecting cellsBlock the survival signals the tumour's neighbours provideClear the suppressive neutrophils out of pancreatic tumours firstDe-acidify the tumour so T cells can work in itDrag cancer's surface and secreted proteins to the cell's recycling binEngineered bacteria that live in tumours and manufacture drugs thereEngineered immune surveillance: long-lived programmed immune cells that patrol for early cancerFAP theranostics as a pan-cancer stromal strategyGrow immune command posts inside tumoursImplant a tiny device that tests twenty drugs inside the patient's own tumourInhaled immune therapy to make the lung hostile to arriving tumour cellsLosartan to loosen the stroma of pancreatic cancer before chemotherapy: a phase 3Make every cold tumour hot: a coordinated programme to reprogramme immune-excluded tumoursMaking microsatellite-stable colorectal cancer immunotherapy-responsiveMatch therapy to the type of scar-forming cell in the tumourMechanically pulverise one tumour with ultrasound to wake the immune systemOncolytic viruses that make interleukin-12 only inside the tumourPhotoimmunotherapy as an in situ vaccine with PD-1 blockadePick the radiation dose that switches the immune alarm on, not offRegionally delivered mesothelin CAR-T with PD-1 blockadeReprogramme suppressive macrophages instead of trying to delete themReprogramme the liver's own immune cells to refuse metastasesTake faecal transplant plus immunotherapy to a definitive trialTest a high-fibre diet as an immunotherapy adjunctTest protein and resistance training during immunotherapyTrain the bone marrow to make better anti-tumour immune cellsTreat the body cavity, not the bloodstream, for surface spreadTreat the draining lymph node before removing itTurn one tumour into a vaccine to treat all the othersUnmask hidden antigens with a short epigenetic course before immunotherapyUse a hypoxia scan to pick patients for adenosine-pathway drugsUse imaging to find the window when tumour blood vessels are working properly

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