OnCo
ideasIdea

National opioid quota reform so morphine reaches cancer patients

Most of the world's people who die in cancer pain have no access to morphine, a drug that costs pennies, because of restrictive national rules. Fixing the rules, not inventing new drugs, is the answer.

The Lancet Commission on Global Access to Palliative Care and Pain Relief estimated that the great majority of the world's need for opioid analgesia in serious illness goes unmet, concentrated in low- and middle-income countries. Barriers are regulatory: unrealistic national import estimates submitted to the International Narcotics Control Board, prescribing restricted to a few specialists, short prescription limits, and fear of prosecution. A country-level reform package with realistic quota estimation, expanded prescriber lists, and prescribing training could change this in years.

Hypothesis
Countries adopting the reform package will at least triple per-capita medical morphine consumption within three years, with no measurable rise in diversion indicators.
Rationale
Uganda, Kerala, and several Latin American countries expanded access dramatically through regulatory change alone; the drug is on every essential medicines list.
What would test it
Technical assistance to five countries with INCB consumption statistics, prescriber numbers, and hospital pain-audit results tracked against matched non-participating countries.
Maturity
being tested at scale
Who has to act
policy
Cost to try
Small (under $1M)
Years to first evidence
3
Bottlenecks it attacks

Connected

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