OnCo
ideasIdea

A ring-fenced metastasis programme with metastasis-specific endpoints

Metastasis causes about nine in ten cancer deaths but gets a small slice of research money. This would ring-fence a tenth of national cancer research budgets for the biology and trials of spread itself.

A dedicated, multi-year programme funds metastasis biology (dissemination, dormancy, organ-specific colonisation), metastasis-directed therapies and, crucially, trials whose primary endpoint is the prevention or delay of new metastases rather than shrinkage of existing ones. It would include model-building (autochthonous and humanised metastasis models), a metastatic tissue banking network with rapid autopsy, and a trial arm for 'anti-metastatic' agents tested in the adjuvant and molecular residual disease setting where they can plausibly work.

Hypothesis
Ring-fencing 10% of a national cancer research budget for metastasis for a decade at least triples the number of registered interventional trials with a metastasis-prevention primary endpoint and produces at least one approved agent labelled for prevention of metastatic relapse.
Rationale
Analyses of NCI portfolios have found metastasis-specific research at a few percent of spend despite its share of mortality; the Metastasis Research Society and the UK's Cancer Grand Challenges have argued that the field is starved of models and of trial designs that can show anti-metastatic effect. Ring-fencing worked to create fields in HIV cure research and in paediatric oncology through the Children's Oncology Group.
What would test it
Portfolio audit at baseline, then a funded pilot of 3 to 5 metastasis-prevention trials in high-risk resected disease (for example pancreatic, TNBC, melanoma) using ctDNA-defined populations; success is feasibility of accrual, endpoint acceptance by regulators, and a signal in at least one trial within six years.
Maturity
speculative
Who has to act
policy
Cost to try
Large (over $50M)
Years to first evidence
8
Bottlenecks it attacks

Connected

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