OnCo
technologiesTechnologyEstablished

MRD / molecular residual disease testing

An ultra-sensitive blood test after surgery that detects leftover cancer months before a scan would.

Tumour-informed assays (Signatera, Oncodetect, RaDaR) or tumour-naive assays (Guardant Reveal) detect ctDNA after curative treatment. ctDNA positivity predicts recurrence with high specificity. Trials (DYNAMIC, CIRCULATE, IMvigor011 in bladder cancer, positive in 2025-26 leading to atezolizumab approval in ctDNA+ MIBC) show it can guide adjuvant therapy. Standard in haematologic malignancies via flow cytometry and NGS (clonoSEQ).

Schematic · not to scale
Plasma · Tumour-informed variants at < 0.01% · Serial draws after surgery

How it works

Patient-specific variant panel designed from tumour sequencing, tracked at very high depth in plasma.

Strengths
  • Months of lead time over imaging
  • Enables escalation and de-escalation trials
Limitations
  • Sensitivity limited by cfDNA quantity
  • Lead time without proven intervention causes anxiety

Products

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Key papers

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rctNature Medicine 2025changed practice
CEPHEUS: daratumumab quadruplet for newly diagnosed myeloma patients not having a transplant, with MRD-negativity as the main endpoint

CEPHEUS extends the quadruplet standard to patients who are not going to transplant, closing the gap between transplant-eligible and ineligible populations. It is also one of the first phase 3 trials to be designed around MRD-negativity as the primary endpoint, which could shorten future myeloma trials by years. Frailer patients still need dose-adapted approaches.

rctNew England Journal of Medicine 2025changed practice
IMvigor011: using a blood test for leftover cancer to decide who gets immunotherapy after bladder surgery

After bladder removal, a blood test can now tell who needs immunotherapy and who can safely be spared it. This is the model for MRD-guided adjuvant therapy across cancers: treat the blood-positive, watch the blood-negative.

rctNew England Journal of Medicine 2024changed practice
ECOG-ACRIN E1910: adding blinatumomab to chemotherapy for adults with B-cell ALL already in MRD-negative remission

E1910 changed the standard of care for adult B-ALL: immunotherapy is now part of front-line consolidation even for patients with no detectable leukaemia, because MRD-negative by flow cytometry does not mean cured. It also demonstrated that a T-cell engager can improve overall survival in a curative setting. Chemotherapy-light or chemotherapy-free regimens built on blinatumomab and inotuzumab are the next step.

rctNew England Journal of Medicine 2024changed practice
PERSEUS: daratumumab added to bortezomib-lenalidomide-dexamethasone around autologous transplant in newly diagnosed myeloma

PERSEUS, with the earlier GRIFFIN and CASSIOPEIA trials, made a four-drug daratumumab quadruplet the standard for fit patients heading to transplant. It also introduced MRD-directed stopping of the antibody, a step towards treatment that is deep but not indefinite. Whether transplant itself remains necessary on top of a quadruplet is now the open question.

observationalNature Medicine 2023
GALAXY: tumour DNA in blood four weeks after bowel cancer surgery predicts relapse tenfold

The blood test stratifies risk far better than stage or pathology. It supports treating ctDNA-positive patients and suggests ctDNA-negative patients gain little from chemotherapy, but because treatment was not randomised the de-escalation claim needs the randomised trials that are now under way.

translationalNature 2023
TRACERx 421: the full-cohort picture of how lung cancer evolves and which subclones drive relapse

Relapse after surgery is driven by particular subclones that can be identified in the primary tumour and tracked in blood, which argues for evolution-aware adjuvant strategies. The pollution finding reframes carcinogenesis: some agents promote already-mutant cells rather than causing mutations.

rctNew England Journal of Medicine 2022changed practice
DYNAMIC: a blood test safely halved chemotherapy use after surgery for stage II colon cancer

For stage II colon cancer, where most patients are cured by surgery alone, a blood test can identify the minority who benefit from chemotherapy and spare everyone else its side effects. It does not yet prove that treating ctDNA-positive patients improves survival compared with not treating them.

translationalNew England Journal of Medicine 2017
TRACERx first 100: tracking how lung cancers evolve, and how chromosomal chaos predicts relapse

Lung cancers keep evolving after they form, and it is ongoing chromosomal instability rather than the number of mutations that best predicts who will relapse. This gives a rationale for targeting the earliest (clonal) drivers and neoantigens and for tracking evolution in blood after surgery.

Latest papers

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Literature trend1,112 papers in the last 12 months+46% vs prior 12How this is computed
Latest papers · live from Europe PMC
Open in Europe PMC

Query for this technology: (TITLE:"minimal residual disease" OR ABSTRACT:"minimal residual disease" OR TITLE:"molecular residual disease" OR ABSTRACT:"molecular residual disease" OR TITLE:"ctDNA MRD" OR ABSTRACT:"ctDNA MRD") AND (cancer OR tumor OR tumour OR oncology OR carcinoma OR lymphoma OR leukemia OR leukaemia OR myeloma OR sarcoma OR melanoma OR glioma). Results are unfiltered search hits about MRD / molecular residual disease testing, not a curated reading list.

Connected

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cancers

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fronts

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technologies

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drugs

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companies

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institutions

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pathways

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terms

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trials

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pairings

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roadmaps

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ideas

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A clone report from blood at every treatment cycleA dedicated clinic for people whose blood test says the cancer is backA fund for prospective validation of academic biomarkers and companion diagnosticsA national platform trial that every ctDNA-positive patient can joinA national residual-disease weather service: serial blood tests for every curatively treated patient, pooledA ring-fenced metastasis programme with metastasis-specific endpointsA test to tell true oligometastatic disease from hidden widespread spreadBank yearly blood from cancer survivors so future tests can be validatedBiomarker-selected adjuvant therapy in RCC (ctDNA, CAIX PET, gene signatures)Bladder preservation for MIBC after perioperative EV + pembrolizumab complete responseBlock the recycling that keeps dormant cells aliveBlunt the inflammation that wakes sleeping cancer cellsBreak the neutrophil DNA nets that catch tumour cells after surgeryCertified reference samples to benchmark every tumour-DNA blood testCheap perioperative beta-blocker plus anti-inflammatory to blunt surgical stressCirculating tumour cell clearance as the phase 2 gate for anti-metastatic drugsctDNA-guided adjuvant therapy as the default in stage II-III colon cancerctDNA-guided adjuvant therapy in stage II-III melanomactDNA-guided duration of PARP maintenancectDNA-triggered escalation in early TNBCFlush dormant cells out of bone marrow, then kill themFormally qualify tumour-DNA blood tests as a surrogate endpoint for adjuvant trialsHPV circulating tumour DNA to guide cervical cancer therapyIntercepting late recurrence with ctDNA surveillance and oral SERDsKeep dormant cells asleep instead of trying to kill themKeep them asleep: dormancy maintenance as adjuvant therapyMetastasis prevention as a formal indication with its own trials and regulatory pathwayMRD-guided treatment-free intervals in myelomaOff-the-shelf KRAS vaccines after pancreatic cancer surgeryOff-the-shelf natural killer cells to sweep up residual diseaseOrgan preservation as the default after complete response in oesophageal cancerOutcome-based annuity payments for potentially curative one-time therapiesPay for residual disease tests only inside a trial or registryPersonalised vaccines given only when the blood test turns positivePlan the second CAR-T target before the first one is lostPush residual disease detection a hundredfold deeper with whole-genome methodsRAS(ON) inhibitors to convert unresectable pancreatic cancer to resectableRead the spinal fluid to track brain tumours without opening the skullReference materials and open proficiency testing for residual disease testsStrip the platelet coat off travelling tumour cells in ctDNA-positive patientsTake the blood test, and give the drug, at the right time of dayUltrasound-assisted blood test instead of a brain biopsyUrine tumour DNA to replace surveillance cystoscopy in NMIBCUse a blood test at six weeks to decide whether to keep goingUse residual disease tests to decide who needs ten years of hormone therapyUse tumour DNA in blood to decide when to pause treatment in metastatic cancerWhat decides which disseminated cells ever colonise?When the blood test is positive, hunt for the lesion with sensitive imaging

people

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bottlenecks

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key papers

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