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AFFIRM: increased survival with enzalutamide in prostate cancer after chemotherapy Scher HI, Fizazi K, Saad F, et al. · New England Journal of Medicine 2012 Enzalutamide, an oral tablet that blocks the androgen receptor at several points at once, added nearly five months to median survival in men whose cancer had already been through chemotherapy. More than half had their PSA halve, against two percent on placebo. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer | none | |||
AR-V7 and resistance to enzalutamide and abiraterone in prostate cancer Antonarakis ES, Lu C, Wang H, et al. · New England Journal of Medicine 2014 A short form of the androgen receptor, missing the part that the hormone drugs grab onto, can be detected in tumour cells circulating in the blood. Not one man whose cells carried it responded to either enzalutamide or abiraterone. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer | none | |||
Association of Black race with prostate cancer-specific and other-cause mortality Dess RT, Hartman HE, Mahal BA, et al. · JAMA Oncology 2019 Black men in the United States are more likely to die of prostate cancer. This study looked at registry data, an equal-access health system and randomised trials together, and found that once treatment and access were equal, the difference in prostate cancer deaths largely disappeared. The difference in dying of everything else did not. | Prostate cancer, Localised prostate cancer, intermediate risk, Localised prostate cancer, high and very high risk | none | |||
Detection of individual prostate cancer foci via multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging Johnson DC, Raman SS, Mirak SA, et al. · European Urology 2019 Prostate MRI is good at answering whether a man has a serious cancer somewhere. This study matched scans against the whole removed prostate and found it is much worse at finding every tumour: it missed at least one significant tumour in a third of men. | Prostate cancer, Localised prostate cancer, very low and low risk, Localised prostate cancer, intermediate risk | none | |||
ERSPC: screening and prostate cancer mortality in a randomised European study Schröder FH, Hugosson J, Roobol MJ, et al. · New England Journal of Medicine 2009 The trial that showed PSA screening does save lives, and showed what it costs. Screening cut the death rate from prostate cancer by a fifth, but 1,410 men had to be screened and 48 extra cancers treated to prevent one death. | Prostate cancer, Localised prostate cancer, very low and low risk, Localised prostate cancer, intermediate risk | none | |||
GETUG-AFU 15: androgen deprivation alone or with docetaxel in non-castrate metastatic prostate cancer Gravis G, Fizazi K, Joly F, et al. · The Lancet Oncology 2013 The first trial to give chemotherapy at the same time as hormone therapy in newly diagnosed metastatic prostate cancer. It found no survival benefit and concluded against the approach, two years before two larger trials found the opposite. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer | none | |||
Huggins and Hodges 1941: the effect of castration, of oestrogen and of androgen injection on serum phosphatases in metastatic carcinoma of the prostate Huggins C, Hodges CV. · Cancer Research 1941 In 1941 two Chicago surgeons showed that removing a man's testicles, or giving him oestrogen, made advanced prostate cancer shrink and his blood chemistry improve, and that giving testosterone made it worse. It was the first time any cancer in any organ had been made to regress by a drug or a hormone. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer | none | |||
In vivo amplification of the androgen receptor gene and progression of human prostate cancer Visakorpi T, Hyytinen E, Koivisto P, et al. · Nature Genetics 1995 When hormone treatment stops working, the cancer often has not stopped caring about the hormone. In a third of tumours that came back on treatment, the cell had simply made extra copies of the androgen receptor gene so it could live on the tiny amount of hormone left. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer | none | |||
Inherited DNA-repair gene mutations in men with metastatic prostate cancer Pritchard CC, Mateo J, Walsh MF, et al. · New England Journal of Medicine 2016 Nearly one man in eight with prostate cancer that has spread carries an inherited fault in a DNA repair gene, most often BRCA2. Family history and age at diagnosis did not predict who: the only way to find them is to test everybody. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer | none | |||
Integrative genomic profiling of human prostate cancer Taylor BS, Schultz N, Hieronymus H, et al. · Cancer Cell 2010 The first large look at prostate cancer across copy number, gene expression and sequence at once. Its most useful finding for patients was that the pattern of gained and lost chromosome segments separates low-risk from high-risk disease better than the Gleason score does. | Prostate cancer, Localised prostate cancer, high and very high risk | none | |||
Judge a prostate screening programme on metastatic presentation, not on incidence or mortality Screening trials are judged on deaths, which take fifteen years to count, and on cancers found, which is the wrong direction. Preventing a man from turning up with cancer already in his bones happens three times as often as preventing a death, arrives years earlier, and is the outcome he cares about. | Prostate cancer, Localised prostate cancer, very low and low risk, Localised prostate cancer, intermediate risk | none | none | ||
KEYNOTE-199: pembrolizumab for treatment-refractory metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer Antonarakis ES, Piulats JM, Gross-Goupil M, et al. · Journal of Clinical Oncology 2020 Checkpoint immunotherapy transformed several cancers and did almost nothing here. In 258 men with advanced prostate cancer, about 1 in 20 had a response, and whether the tumour expressed PD-L1 made no difference. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer | none | |||
Lead time and overdiagnosis in prostate-specific antigen screening: importance of methods and context Draisma G, Etzioni R, Tsodikov A, et al. · JNCI: Journal of the National Cancer Institute 2009 Estimates of how many screen-detected prostate cancers would never have caused trouble ranged from a quarter to more than four fifths. Three independent models were run side by side to find out why, and showed the answer depends almost entirely on how the question is asked. | Prostate cancer, Localised prostate cancer, very low and low risk | none | |||
Measurement of prostate-specific antigen in serum as a screening test for prostate cancer Catalona WJ, Smith DS, Ratliff TL, et al. · New England Journal of Medicine 1991 This is where the number 4.0 came from. Screening 1,653 healthy men over 50 with a blood test and biopsying those above that level found cancers that a finger examination would have missed, and the threshold entered practice worldwide. | Prostate cancer, Localised prostate cancer, very low and low risk, Localised prostate cancer, intermediate risk | none | |||
Molecular determinants of resistance to antiandrogen therapy Chen CD, Welsbie DS, Tran C, et al. · Nature Medicine 2004 This study found the one change that always happened when prostate cancer became resistant to hormone-blocking drugs: the cell made more androgen receptor. With enough of it, the drugs that were meant to block the receptor started switching it on instead. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer | none | |||
Overdiagnosis and overtreatment of prostate cancer Loeb S, Bjurlin MA, Nicholson J, et al. · European Urology 2014 A review that gathered every way overdiagnosis in prostate cancer has been measured and found estimates from under two percent to two thirds, depending entirely on the method. The one figure everyone can agree on is that autopsy studies find prostate cancer in around a fifth to two fifths of men who died of something else. | Prostate cancer, Localised prostate cancer, very low and low risk | none | |||
Phase 1 trial of abiraterone acetate confirms that castration-resistant prostate cancer commonly remains hormone driven Attard G, Reid AH, Yap TA, et al. · Journal of Clinical Oncology 2008 Twenty-one men whose prostate cancer had already stopped responding to every hormone treatment available were given a drug that shuts off the last remaining source of androgen. Two thirds had their PSA fall, which proved the cancer had never stopped depending on the hormone. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer | none | |||
PIVOT: follow-up of prostatectomy versus observation for early prostate cancer Wilt TJ, Jones KM, Barry MJ, et al. · New England Journal of Medicine 2017 In men whose prostate cancer was mostly found by a blood test, surgery did not significantly reduce deaths after nearly twenty years. It did cause more incontinence and sexual problems, and it did reduce later treatment for the cancer growing. | Prostate cancer, Localised prostate cancer, very low and low risk, Localised prostate cancer, intermediate risk | none | |||
PLCO: mortality results from a randomised prostate cancer screening trial Andriole GL, Crawford ED, Grubb RL, et al. · New England Journal of Medicine 2009 The American screening trial, published in the same issue as the European one and reaching the opposite conclusion. It found more cancers in the screened group and no difference in deaths, which is partly because half the men in the comparison group were being screened anyway. | Prostate cancer, Localised prostate cancer, very low and low risk, Localised prostate cancer, intermediate risk | none | |||
PREVAIL: enzalutamide in metastatic prostate cancer before chemotherapy Beer TM, Armstrong AJ, Rathkopf DE, et al. · New England Journal of Medicine 2014 The same drug given before chemotherapy rather than after it. At one year, 65 percent of men on enzalutamide had no sign of the cancer growing on scans, against 14 percent on placebo, and the need for chemotherapy was pushed a long way back. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer | none | |||
PROMIS: diagnostic accuracy of multiparametric MRI and TRUS biopsy in prostate cancer Ahmed HU, El-Shater Bosaily A, Brown LC, et al. · The Lancet 2017 Every man with a raised PSA used to get a needle biopsy through the rectum, which misses half the serious cancers and can cause sepsis. This trial gave 576 men a scan, a standard biopsy and an exhaustive mapping biopsy, and showed the scan could safely spare a quarter of them the needle. | Prostate cancer, Localised prostate cancer, very low and low risk, Localised prostate cancer, intermediate risk | none | |||
Prospective comprehensive genomic profiling of 3,476 primary and metastatic prostate tumours Chung JH, Dewal N, Sokol E, et al. · JCO Precision Oncology 2019 The largest routine-practice picture of what is broken in prostate tumours. Across 3,476 samples sent for commercial sequencing, TP53 was altered in 44 percent and PTEN in 32 percent, and just over half carried something a drug is being developed against. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer, Metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer | none | |||
Prostate cancer diagnosis and treatment after the introduction of prostate-specific antigen screening, 1986 to 2005 Welch HG, Albertsen PC. · JNCI: Journal of the National Cancer Institute 2009 Counting what the blood test did to a country. In the twenty years after PSA testing began in the United States, an extra 1.3 million men were diagnosed with prostate cancer and about a million were definitively treated, for a benefit that on the most generous assumption reached one man in twenty of them. | Prostate cancer, Localised prostate cancer, very low and low risk | none | |||
Prostate-specific antigen as a serum marker for adenocarcinoma of the prostate Stamey TA, Yang N, Hay AR, et al. · New England Journal of Medicine 1987 The paper that turned a protein made by the prostate into the blood test now used on millions of men a year. It showed the level tracked how much cancer there was, fell to nothing after surgery, and rose again when the cancer came back. | Prostate cancer, Localised prostate cancer, very low and low risk, Localised prostate cancer, intermediate risk | none | |||
Publish a per-lesion miss rate for every prostate MRI service before it is allowed to guide focal treatment Prostate MRI is good at telling you whether a man has a serious cancer and poor at telling you where all of it is. It missed at least one significant tumour in a third of men in the study that checked it against the whole removed prostate. Services that treat part of the gland, or follow men on imaging alone, are relying on the number they do not measure. | Prostate cancer, Localised prostate cancer, very low and low risk, Localised prostate cancer, intermediate risk | none | none | ||
Punctuated evolution of prostate cancer genomes Baca SC, Prandi D, Lawrence MS, et al. · Cell 2013 Cancer is usually described as accumulating damage one change at a time. Sequencing 57 whole prostate cancer genomes showed something else: chains of translocations and deletions that happen together in one burst, disrupting several cancer genes at once. | Prostate cancer, Localised prostate cancer, high and very high risk | none | |||
Randomise the order of treatment, not only the drugs: a strategy platform for metastatic prostate cancer Metastatic prostate cancer now has six classes of treatment that work, and no trial has ever compared the orders they can be given in. Every trial adds a drug to the front; none asks what should follow it, so the sequence a man receives is decided by habit and by what was licensed first. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer | none | none | ||
Recurrent fusion of TMPRSS2 and ETS transcription factor genes in prostate cancer Tomlins SA, Rhodes DR, Perner S, et al. · Science 2005 Gene fusions were thought to be a feature of leukaemias, not common solid cancers. This study found one in prostate cancer that joins a switch controlled by testosterone to a growth gene, and found it in most of the tumours it looked at. | Prostate cancer, Localised prostate cancer, high and very high risk, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer | none | |||
Report death from other causes as an outcome of the prostate cancer service, split by deprivation and ethnicity When Black and white men in the United States are given the same treatment, the gap in dying of prostate cancer largely closes. The gap in dying of everything else does not. Cancer services measure the first and not the second, which means the surviving disparity is invisible to the people best placed to act on it. | Prostate cancer, Localised prostate cancer, intermediate risk, Localised prostate cancer, high and very high risk | none | none | ||
RESTORE: bipolar androgen therapy after progression on enzalutamide in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer Teply BA, Wang H, Luber B, et al. · The Lancet Oncology 2018 Prostate cancer adapts to having almost no testosterone. This trial did the opposite of what the textbook says and gave men large doses of testosterone. Three in ten responded, and more than half responded again to the hormone-blocking drug that had stopped working. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer | none | |||
SOX2 promotes lineage plasticity and antiandrogen resistance in TP53- and RB1-deficient prostate cancer Mu P, Zhang Z, Benelli M, et al. · Science 2017 Some prostate cancers escape hormone drugs not by changing the receptor but by becoming a different kind of cell that does not need it. This paper showed how: losing two tumour suppressors lets the cell switch on SOX2 and change identity, and restoring them reverses it. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer, Neuroendocrine and small-cell prostate cancer | none | |||
SPCG-4: radical prostatectomy or watchful waiting in prostate cancer, 29-year follow-up Bill-Axelson A, Holmberg L, Garmo H, et al. · New England Journal of Medicine 2018 Men with prostate cancer found because it caused a lump or symptoms, randomised in the years before PSA testing, were followed for nearly thirty years. Surgery roughly halved the chance of dying of prostate cancer and added an average of 2.9 years of life. | Prostate cancer, Localised prostate cancer, intermediate risk, Localised prostate cancer, high and very high risk | none | |||
STOpCaP: docetaxel or bisphosphonates added to standard of care in hormone-sensitive prostate cancer, a systematic review and meta-analysis Vale CL, Burdett S, Rydzewska LHM, et al. · The Lancet Oncology 2016 Three trials of chemotherapy at the start of hormone therapy had reported, two positive and one negative. Pooling them showed the treatment does work in metastatic disease, improving four-year survival by about nine percent, and that zoledronic acid does not. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer | none | |||
SU2C-PCF: integrative clinical genomics of advanced prostate cancer Robinson D, Van Allen EM, Wu YM, et al. · Cell 2015 One hundred and fifty men with prostate cancer that had spread and stopped responding to hormones had their tumours biopsied and sequenced prospectively. Nine in ten had a genetic change that a drug could in principle be aimed at, and one in five had a broken DNA repair gene. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer | none | |||
SWOG 9346: intermittent versus continuous androgen deprivation in metastatic prostate cancer Hussain M, Tangen CM, Berry DL, et al. · New England Journal of Medicine 2013 Hormone therapy causes hot flushes, loss of libido, loss of muscle and bone, and low mood. This trial asked whether men could take breaks from it. After ten years the answer was uncomfortable: the breaks felt better for three months, and the trial could not rule out a worse chance of survival. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer | none | |||
SWOG 9916: docetaxel and estramustine compared with mitoxantrone and prednisone for advanced refractory prostate cancer Petrylak DP, Tangen CM, Hussain MH, et al. · New England Journal of Medicine 2004 Published in the same issue as TAX 327 and reaching the same conclusion by a different route: docetaxel extends life in advanced prostate cancer. The extra drug it was paired with, estramustine, brought enough side effects that it was dropped from practice. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer | none | |||
Take high-dose testosterone to phase 3, with progression-free survival through the second line as the primary endpoint Giving men with castration-resistant prostate cancer large doses of the hormone the treatment has spent years removing makes a third of them respond, and makes half of them respond again to the drug that had stopped working. It has never been taken to a definitive trial, partly because the endpoint that shows the benefit is not the one trials usually use. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer | none | none | ||
TAX 327: docetaxel plus prednisone or mitoxantrone plus prednisone for advanced prostate cancer Tannock IF, de Wit R, Berry WR, et al. · New England Journal of Medicine 2004 The first treatment ever shown to help men live longer once prostate cancer stopped responding to hormones. Docetaxel every three weeks added about two and a half months to median survival compared with the older drug, and made pain and quality of life better as well. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer | none | |||
TCGA: the molecular taxonomy of primary prostate cancer Cancer Genome Atlas Research Network. · Cell 2015 The Cancer Genome Atlas classified 333 prostate cancers taken out at surgery and found that three quarters fall into one of seven groups defined by a fusion or a mutation. A quarter had a change that a drug could in principle be aimed at, and one in five had a broken DNA repair gene. | Prostate cancer, Localised prostate cancer, high and very high risk | none | |||
Test every man for DNA repair faults on the day his prostate cancer is found to have spread, not three treatments later About one man in eight with prostate cancer that has spread carries an inherited DNA repair fault, and about one in five has one in the tumour. The drugs for those faults have moved to the beginning of treatment, but the test is still usually done near the end, when it is too late to use the result. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer | none | none | ||
The evolutionary history of lethal metastatic prostate cancer Gundem G, Van Loo P, Kremeyer B, et al. · Nature 2015 By sequencing many separate deposits from ten men who died of prostate cancer, this study reconstructed how the cancer travelled. Metastases seeded other metastases, and often did it in groups of cells rather than one at a time. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer | none | |||
The mutational landscape of lethal castration-resistant prostate cancer Grasso CS, Wu YM, Robinson DR, et al. · Nature 2012 Fifty men who died of prostate cancer had their tumours sequenced within hours of death. Even after years of treatment the cancers carried few mutations, and the recurring ones were in genes that control how DNA is packaged and read rather than in classic cancer genes. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer | none | |||
TOPARP-A: DNA-repair defects and olaparib in metastatic prostate cancer Mateo J, Carreira S, Sandhu S, et al. · New England Journal of Medicine 2015 Fifty men whose prostate cancer had exhausted every standard treatment were given a PARP inhibitor and biopsied. A third responded, and almost all the responders were the ones with a broken DNA repair gene, including every man who had lost BRCA2. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer | none | |||
Trans-ancestry genome-wide association meta-analysis of prostate cancer identifies new susceptibility loci and informs genetic risk prediction Conti DV, Darst BF, Moss LC, et al. · Nature Genetics 2021 The largest genetic study of prostate cancer pooled 107,247 men with the disease and 127,006 without, across ancestries. It brought the number of known risk variants to 269 and showed that men of African ancestry carry, on average, more than twice the genetic risk score of men of European ancestry. | Prostate cancer | none | |||
TRANSFORMER: bipolar androgen therapy versus enzalutamide in asymptomatic metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer Denmeade SR, Wang H, Agarwal N, et al. · Journal of Clinical Oncology 2021 A randomised comparison of high-dose testosterone against a standard hormone-blocking drug. Neither delayed progression better than the other, but men who had the testosterone first and the drug second lived nearly nine months longer before their second progression, and felt better throughout. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer | none | |||
TRITON2: rucaparib in men with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer harbouring a BRCA1 or BRCA2 alteration Abida W, Patnaik A, Campbell D, et al. · Journal of Clinical Oncology 2020 The trial that got rucaparib approved for prostate cancer. In 115 men with a BRCA fault whose cancer had already been through hormone drugs and chemotherapy, around half had their tumours shrink or their PSA halve. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer | none | |||
TRITON3: rucaparib or physician's choice in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer Fizazi K, Piulats JM, Reaume MN, et al. · New England Journal of Medicine 2023 The randomised confirmation that a PARP inhibitor beats the alternatives in men with a BRCA fault, nearly doubling the time before the cancer grew on scans. In men with an ATM fault instead, it did nothing. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer | none | |||
TROPIC: prednisone plus cabazitaxel or mitoxantrone for metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer progressing after docetaxel de Bono JS, Oudard S, Ozguroglu M, et al. · The Lancet 2010 The first drug shown to extend life after docetaxel has stopped working. Cabazitaxel, a taxane designed to get past the pumps that expel docetaxel from resistant cells, added about two and a half months, at the cost of a high rate of low white cell counts. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer | none | |||
USPSTF 2012: screening for prostate cancer, recommendation statement (grade D) Moyer VA, U.S. Preventive Services Task Force. · Annals of Internal Medicine 2012 In 2012 the American preventive services body recommended against PSA screening for every man at every age. It is the most consequential negative screening recommendation ever made, and it was reversed six years later. | Prostate cancer, Localised prostate cancer, very low and low risk | none | |||
USPSTF 2018: screening for prostate cancer, recommendation statement (grade C at 55 to 69, grade D at 70 and over) US Preventive Services Task Force, Grossman DC, Curry SJ, et al. · JAMA 2018 Six years after recommending against PSA testing for everyone, the same body changed its mind for men aged 55 to 69 and said the decision should be theirs. The statement puts the numbers on both sides: about 1.3 deaths prevented per 1,000 men screened, and one in five who have surgery left with long-term incontinence. | Prostate cancer, Localised prostate cancer, very low and low risk, Localised prostate cancer, intermediate risk | none | |||
Watch for the cancer changing cell type before the biopsy says neuroendocrine, and act on it In a minority of men, prostate cancer escapes hormone drugs by becoming a different kind of cell that no longer needs the androgen receptor. By the time a biopsy shows it, the treatment options are almost gone. The genetic changes that allow the switch are detectable years earlier, and nobody is looking for them. | Prostate cancer, Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer, Neuroendocrine and small-cell prostate cancer | none | none |