MPN driver mutations (JAK2 V617F, CALR, MPL) and allele burden
Almost every polycythaemia vera and most essential thrombocythaemia and myelofibrosis carry one of three mutations (JAK2 V617F, CALR or MPL) that jam the growth signal on; finding one confirms the diagnosis is a true blood cancer rather than a reaction to something else, and the mutation type and how much of the blood carries it shape the risk of clots and progression.
Overview
What is measured: the clonal driver of a myeloproliferative neoplasm and its allele burden. How: peripheral blood PCR (allele-specific quantitative or digital PCR for JAK2 V617F with the percentage of mutant alleles, sequencing for JAK2 exon 12, CALR exon 9 insertions and deletions typed 1 or 2, and MPL exon 10 W515 variants) or a myeloid sequencing panel that also reports high-molecular-risk mutations (ASXL1, SRSF2, EZH2, IDH1, IDH2, U2AF1) and TP53. Frequencies: polycythaemia vera JAK2 V617F about 95 percent and exon 12 about 3 percent; essential thrombocythaemia JAK2 about 60 percent, CALR 25, MPL 3, triple-negative 10; primary myelofibrosis JAK2 60, CALR 25, MPL 7, triple-negative 10 (the worst group). A driver is a WHO 2022 major criterion. What a result changes: JAK2 V617F in essential thrombocythaemia raises thrombosis risk in the IPSET score and so the threshold for aspirin and cytoreduction; type 1 CALR in myelofibrosis predicts longer survival and triple-negative shorter (MIPSS70); an allele burden above 50 percent in polycythaemia vera tracks with fibrotic progression; the burden falls with ropeginterferon alfa-2b (a molecular response) but little with hydroxyurea or ruxolitinib, and it serves as a residual-disease marker after transplant. JAK inhibitors work whichever driver is present. Where it matters: polycythaemia vera, essential thrombocythaemia and primary myelofibrosis.
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