ESPAC-1 is the 2004 trial that made chemotherapy after pancreatic cancer surgery standard and pushed radiotherapy out: five-year survival was 21 percent with chemotherapy against 8 percent without, while chemoradiotherapy lowered it from 20 to 10 percent.
ESPAC-1 randomised 289 patients with resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma in a two-by-two factorial design; the final analysis (median follow-up 47 months, 237 deaths) gave an estimated five-year survival of 21 percent among patients who received chemotherapy against 8 percent among those who did not (p 0.009), and 10 percent among those who received chemoradiotherapy against 20 percent among those who did not (p 0.05), the chemotherapy benefit persisting after adjustment for prognostic factors. The authors concluded that adjuvant chemotherapy has a significant survival benefit whereas adjuvant chemoradiotherapy is deleterious, a conclusion that separated European practice (chemotherapy alone: ESPAC-3, ESPAC-4, PRODIGE 24) from the North American use of adjuvant chemoradiotherapy for a decade and that the negative LAP07 and CONKO-007 results later echoed in the locally advanced setting. Its split-course 20 Gy radiotherapy and lack of quality assurance were criticised at the time, but no later randomised trial has shown adjuvant chemoradiotherapy improves survival.
Numbers are from the trial as recorded here; see the source links in the table below. This is orientation, not medical advice: ask your team how closely the trial population matches you.
289 randomised.
| Endpoint | Arm | n | Value | HR (95% CI) | p | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall survival at 5 years, chemotherapy factorprimary | Adjuvant fluorouracil and folinic acid (with or without chemoradiotherapy) | 147 | 21% | - | 0.009 | link |
| No chemotherapy | 142 | 8% | ||||
| Overall survival at 5 years, chemoradiotherapy factor | Adjuvant chemoradiotherapy (with or without chemotherapy) | 145 | 10% | - | 0.05 | link |
| No chemoradiotherapy | 144 | 20% |
Shares CONKO-001, ESPAC-4, Neoadjuvant / adjuvant / perioperative, Resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.
Shares ESPAC-4, Pancreatic cancer: the failed and stopped programmes and why, Resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, Cytotoxic chemotherapy.
Shares ESPAC-3, Fluorouracil (5-FU), Resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.
Shares Leucovorin (folinic acid), Fluorouracil (5-FU), Resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, Cytotoxic chemotherapy.
Shares Pancreatic cancer: the failed and stopped programmes and why, Chemoradiation (chemoradiotherapy, CRT), Neoadjuvant / adjuvant / perioperative, Resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.
Shares Pancreatic cancer: the failed and stopped programmes and why, Leucovorin (folinic acid), Fluorouracil (5-FU), Cytotoxic chemotherapy.
Shares Neoadjuvant / adjuvant / perioperative, Fluorouracil (5-FU), Resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, Cytotoxic chemotherapy.
Shares Leucovorin (folinic acid), Fluorouracil (5-FU), Resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, Cytotoxic chemotherapy.