OnCo
ideasIdea

Radiotherapy for everyone who needs it by 2040

Half of cancer patients need radiotherapy and most of the world cannot get it. Commit to low-cost machines, automated planning and trained staff so that access is universal by 2040.

The Lancet Oncology Commission estimated enormous unmet radiotherapy need in low- and middle-income countries, with many countries having no machine at all. Barriers are capital cost, maintenance, physics and oncologist workforce, and planning complexity. The proposal is a coordinated programme: purpose-designed low-cost, low-maintenance linear accelerators for harsh environments (the CERN-STFC-ICEC effort), AI-automated contouring and planning with remote quality assurance, task-shifted training curricula, and pooled procurement and financing through IAEA Rays of Hope and development banks, with a public dashboard of machines per million and treatment gap by country.

Hypothesis
The programme halves the global radiotherapy treatment gap by 2035 and closes it in participating countries by 2040, with survival gains in cervical, head and neck and breast cancers measurable in registries.
Rationale
Radiotherapy is curative, cost-effective and needed in half of all patients; the constraints are engineering, finance and workforce, all of which have been solved for other technologies at scale.
What would test it
Deploy ruggedised machines with automated planning and remote QA in ten centres in five countries; measure uptime, throughput, plan quality against expert review and cost per course.
Maturity
early clinical
Who has to act
policy
Cost to try
Large (over $50M)
Years to first evidence
10
Bottlenecks it attacks

Connected

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