Fitzmaurice 2017: the Global Burden of Disease estimate of cancer in 2015
The Global Burden of Disease collaboration's count for 2015: about 17.5 million new cancer cases worldwide, with cases rising by a third over the previous decade mostly because populations were growing and ageing, and lung cancer the largest cause of years of life lost to cancer.
Overview
The Global Burden of Disease Cancer Collaboration estimated incidence, mortality, years of life lost, years lived with disability and disability-adjusted life-years for 32 cancer groups in 195 countries for 2015 and the trend since 2005. It counted about 17.5 million cases and 8.7 million deaths. Cases increased by 33% between 2005 and 2015, of which most was attributable to population ageing and growth rather than to rising age-specific rates. Tracheal, bronchus and lung cancer was the leading cause of cancer disability-adjusted life-years globally.
- About 17.5 million cancer cases and 8.7 million cancer deaths worldwide in 2015.
- Cases rose 33% from 2005 to 2015: about 16% from population ageing, 13% from population growth and 4% from changing age-specific rates.
- Lung cancer was the leading cause of cancer disability-adjusted life-years; cancer was the second leading cause of death worldwide.
GBD is the other major global cancer count alongside GLOBOCAN, using different methods, and its burden measures in years of life lost make the case that cancer control is largely a problem of ageing populations in middle-income countries.
- Modelled estimates with wide uncertainty where registry data are sparse.
- GBD and GLOBOCAN figures differ because of methods, so they should not be mixed in one comparison.
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