The same rise is happening in Europe. Across 20 countries and 143.7 million people, bowel cancer in 20 to 29-year-olds rose by 7.9 percent a year from 2004 to 2016.
Vuik, Nieuwenburg, Bardou and colleagues retrieved age-related colorectal cancer incidence and mortality data for 1990 to 2016 from national and regional cancer registries in 20 European countries, covering 143.7 million people aged 20 to 49, of whom 187,918 (0.13 percent) were diagnosed with colorectal cancer. Trends were analysed by joinpoint regression and expressed as annual percent change.
The rise started earliest in the youngest group and appeared 10 to 20 years later in the older ones, which is the signature of a birth-cohort effect rather than of changed diagnostic practice. Incidence rose in most but not all European countries.
The European counterpart to Siegel 2017, and the evidence a UK screening age extension has to be argued against: the fastest relative rise is in people two decades below any screening programme's start age.
If a childhood exposure to colibactin-producing Escherichia coli writes APC mutations into the colon decades before a tumour appears, then the rise in early-onset bowel cancer may be preventable by something done in childhood rather than by screening alone.
The paper that turned early-onset colorectal cancer from an anecdote into a policy problem, and the direct evidence behind lowering the screening start age from 50 to 45 in the United States.
Shares Gut, Colorectal cancer incidence patterns in the United States, 1974-2013, Geographic and age variations in mutational processes in colorectal cancer, Find out what is driving early-onset bowel cancer, starting with colibactin, before extending screening any further and the tag colorectal-evidence.
Shares Colorectal cancer incidence patterns in the United States, 1974-2013, UK gap: shorten the route to diagnosis for patients below the screening age, where the rise in incidence is, Early-onset colorectal cancer (under 50), Colorectal cancer screening (colonoscopy, FIT, stool DNA, blood) and the tag colorectal-evidence.
Shares Colorectal cancer screening (colonoscopy, FIT, stool DNA, blood), Prevention we already have is not deployed, The hardest cancers are found late, Colorectal cancer roadmap: from the adenoma-carcinoma sequence and the first screening trials to total mesorectal excision, oxaliplatin, RAS testing, immunotherapy for mismatch repair-deficient disease, ctDNA-guided treatment and organ preservation and the tag colorectal-evidence.
Shares Colorectal cancer screening (colonoscopy, FIT, stool DNA, blood), Prevention we already have is not deployed, The hardest cancers are found late, Colorectal cancer roadmap: from the adenoma-carcinoma sequence and the first screening trials to total mesorectal excision, oxaliplatin, RAS testing, immunotherapy for mismatch repair-deficient disease, ctDNA-guided treatment and organ preservation and the tag colorectal-evidence.
Shares Colorectal cancer screening (colonoscopy, FIT, stool DNA, blood), Prevention we already have is not deployed, The hardest cancers are found late, Colorectal cancer roadmap: from the adenoma-carcinoma sequence and the first screening trials to total mesorectal excision, oxaliplatin, RAS testing, immunotherapy for mismatch repair-deficient disease, ctDNA-guided treatment and organ preservation and the tag colorectal-evidence.
Shares Colorectal cancer screening (colonoscopy, FIT, stool DNA, blood), The hardest cancers are found late, Colorectal cancer roadmap: from the adenoma-carcinoma sequence and the first screening trials to total mesorectal excision, oxaliplatin, RAS testing, immunotherapy for mismatch repair-deficient disease, ctDNA-guided treatment and organ preservation, Colorectal cancer and the tag colorectal-evidence.
Shares Early-onset colorectal cancer (under 50), Colorectal cancer screening (colonoscopy, FIT, stool DNA, blood), Prevention we already have is not deployed, The hardest cancers are found late and the tag colorectal-evidence.
Shares Colorectal cancer screening (colonoscopy, FIT, stool DNA, blood), The hardest cancers are found late, Colorectal cancer roadmap: from the adenoma-carcinoma sequence and the first screening trials to total mesorectal excision, oxaliplatin, RAS testing, immunotherapy for mismatch repair-deficient disease, ctDNA-guided treatment and organ preservation, Colorectal cancer and the tag colorectal-evidence.