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Red and processed meat reduction

Processed meat (bacon, ham, sausages) definitely causes bowel cancer; red meat probably does. The risk per person is modest, but because so many people eat it, the population impact is large.

IARC classified processed meat as carcinogenic to humans (Group 1) and red meat as probably carcinogenic (Group 2A) in 2015, based on colorectal cancer: about 18% higher risk per 50 g/day of processed meat and 17% per 100 g/day of red meat in meta-analyses of cohorts. Absolute risk increase for an individual is a few percentage points of lifetime colorectal risk; the population-attributable fraction in high-income countries is around 5-10% of colorectal cancers. Mechanisms include N-nitroso compounds from nitrite curing, haem iron promoting endogenous nitrosation and lipid peroxidation, and heterocyclic amines from high-temperature cooking. WCRF recommends limiting red meat to about three portions (350-500 g cooked) per week and eating little if any processed meat. The 2019 NutriRECS guidelines that advised continuing current consumption drew widespread criticism for applying drug-trial evidence standards to dietary epidemiology, illustrating the recurring dispute about how much certainty diet advice needs.

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How it works

Nitrosamines, haem iron and heterocyclic amines cause DNA alkylation and oxidative damage in colonic epithelium; the exposure is chronic and cumulative.

Strengths
  • IARC Group 1 classification with coherent mechanism
  • Consistent dose-response across cohorts
  • Reduction aligns with cardiovascular and climate goals
Limitations
  • Individual relative risks are modest and hard to communicate
  • Confounding with overall diet quality
  • Policy tools (labelling, reformulation) under-used

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