OnCo
ideasIdea

A 28-day national pathway for people with a positive multi-cancer blood test

A positive blood test with no known tumour is frightening and hard to manage. A standard imaging cascade with a time limit, and a registry of what was found, would make these tests usable.

PATHFINDER showed diagnostic resolution sometimes took months and many procedures. Propose a protocolised pathway: tissue-of-origin-directed imaging first, PET-CT second, FAPI PET or whole-body MRI third, explicit stopping rules for unresolved positives (repeat test at six months), and a mandatory registry of investigations, complications, and outcomes per positive.

Hypothesis
A protocolised pathway achieves diagnostic resolution within 28 days in at least 80% of positives with two or fewer imaging procedures on average, and halves invasive procedures per false positive relative to unstructured care.
Rationale
NHS Rapid Diagnostic Centres already do this for non-specific symptoms; the MCED positive is a new referral reason for the same machinery.
What would test it
Compare structured versus usual-care resolution in the NHS-Galleri implementation phase.
Maturity
early clinical
Who has to act
clinic
Cost to try
Medium ($1M to $50M)
Years to first evidence
3
Bottlenecks it attacks
  • Most lethal cancers are found late · Screening exists for only a few cancers. Pancreatic, ovarian, liver, oesophageal and most lung cancers are found when cure is unlikely.
  • Overdiagnosis and false alarms · Finding more cancer is not the same as saving lives. Screening also finds cancers that would never have hurt anyone, and treats them.

Key papers

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