OnCo
bottlenecksBottleneck

Trials do not represent the people who get cancer

Older, Black, Hispanic, Asian, rural, poor and multimorbid patients are under-represented, so results may not apply to them.

Trials that lead to cancer drug approvals enrol predominantly younger, white, fitter patients treated at academic centres in a handful of high-income countries. In pivotal trials supporting US approvals from 2008 to 2018, Black patients made up about 3% and Hispanic patients about 6% of participants, and race was not even reported in a large share of trials; patients over 65 have been under-represented for decades relative to their share of incidence. Pharmacogenomic differences (for example, in DPYD, UGT1A1 and EGFR mutation prevalence), differences in comorbidity, body composition and social context all mean that efficacy and toxicity can differ, and the evidence to know does not exist. The geographic concentration also means most of the world's patients are treated on the basis of trials in populations unlike them. Regulators now require diversity action plans, but enforcement, infrastructure and trust are the real constraints.

majortrials43 ideas to fix it
How big the problem is
3.1% and 6.1%
Black and Hispanic participants in trials supporting FDA cancer drug approvals 2008-2018
25% vs 63%
Patients aged 65 or older in SWOG treatment trials 1993-1996 vs their share of US cancer incidence
81%
Share of genome-wide association study participants of European ancestry (2016)
Root causes
  • Trial sites are concentrated at academic centres in wealthy areas and countries.
  • Eligibility criteria on organ function, comorbidity and performance status disproportionately exclude older and minority patients.
  • Historical abuses and present-day experiences of discrimination reduce trust in research.
  • Costs of participation (travel, time off work, childcare) are highest for poorer patients.
  • Sponsors face no penalty for unrepresentative enrolment and prefer fast accrual at established sites.
What is already being tried
  • The Food and Drug Omnibus Reform Act (2022) requires Diversity Action Plans for pivotal trials, with FDA draft guidance issued in 2024.
  • FDA Project Equity in the Oncology Center of Excellence coordinates representation in oncology trials.
  • The ASCO-ACCC initiative provides site self-assessment and Just ASK implicit-bias training to increase enrolment of under-represented groups.
  • NIH policy on inclusion across the lifespan (2019) removed age-based exclusions from NIH-funded trials.
  • NCORP places NCI trials in minority and underserved community sites.
  • Asian and Chinese cooperative groups and companies (Hengrui, Akeso, BeOne) now run registrational trials in Asian populations, changing the geographic mix of evidence.
What breaking it looks like
Enrolment in pivotal trials matches the age, ancestry and geographic distribution of the disease within a few percentage points, and subgroup data are sufficient to detect clinically meaningful differences in efficacy or toxicity.

Ideas to fix it

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speculativeengineeringlarge cost
A global open trials operating system any hospital can plug into

Build the shared software, legal templates and data standards that let any hospital in the world join a cancer trial in weeks instead of years, the way the internet let any computer join the network.

speculativeengineeringsmall cost
A health-literacy certification standard for oncology portals, letters and apps

Cancer information tools must meet a tested standard: reading age around 12, main languages of the population, audio versions and clear numbers, or they are not certified for use.

early clinicalregulatormedium cost
A mandatory over-70s cohort with geriatric assessment in every pivotal trial

Most people with cancer are over 65, but trials mostly enrol younger, fitter people. Requiring a group of older patients, assessed for frailty, in every big trial would show whether the drug works and is safe for those most likely to receive it.

being tested at scalepayermedium cost
A paid patient navigator for every new cancer diagnosis, reimbursed as a service

Every newly diagnosed patient gets a named person whose job is to get them through appointments, tests, paperwork and money problems. Insurers should pay for it because it prevents delays and dropouts.

speculativepolicysmall cost
A public equity index for trial sites and sponsors, tied to funding

Rank hospitals and companies each year on how well their trial participants match the people with the disease in their area, and use the ranking when deciding who gets public research money and trial contracts.

speculativedatasmall cost
A public map of trial deserts to steer where new sites open

Combine cancer incidence with the location of open trials to show which regions have many patients but no trial within an hour's drive. Sponsors and funders would use it to decide where to put sites.

speculativepolicymedium cost
A trials fund reserved for older and multimorbid patients

Most people with cancer are over 65, but most trial patients are younger and fitter. A dedicated fund would pay for trials designed for the patients we actually treat.

early clinicalindustrysmall cost
Analyse and dose by sex: women get more toxicity from many cancer drugs at the same dose

Women experience more severe side effects from many chemotherapy, targeted and immune drugs than men at identical doses. Trials should analyse drug levels and side effects separately by sex and test whether women need different doses.

early clinicalregulatormedium cost
Ancestry-aware pharmacology: drug-level sub-studies across populations before approval

Drugs are processed differently by people with different genetic backgrounds, but doses are set mostly in white and East Asian populations. Every new drug should be studied for how it behaves across ancestries, with dosing advice by genotype rather than by race.

speculativeregulatorsmall cost
At least a third of pivotal-trial sites in community and rural settings

Most cancer patients are treated outside big academic hospitals, but most trials are run inside them. Requiring a share of sites to be community practices would bring trials to where patients are.

early clinicalresearchlarge cost
Build polygenic scores that work in every ancestry before deploying any

Genetic risk scores were built mostly on Europeans and work worse in others. Funding non-European cohorts and setting a portability standard would prevent screening that widens inequality.

speculativephilanthropylarge cost
Burden-matched funding for trials led in low- and middle-income countries

Seven in ten cancer deaths are in poorer countries, yet almost all trials happen in rich ones. Funders would commit a share of money for trials designed and led where the burden is.

early clinicalphilanthropymedium cost
Community health workers and trusted local organisations paid to recruit for trials

People join trials when someone they trust explains them. Paying community health workers, churches and local groups to inform and refer people would reach communities that hospitals do not.

early clinicalindustrymedium cost
Dedicated cohorts for patients with performance status 2 in first-line trials

Trials usually take only patients who are up and about most of the day. Those who spend more time resting, a common group in real clinics, are excluded, so nobody knows how to treat them. A dedicated group in each trial would answer that.

early clinicalregulatorsmall cost
Default-inclusive eligibility: sponsors must justify every exclusion criterion

Trials should let people in unless there is a scientific or safety reason to keep them out. Every exclusion rule would need a written reason, reviewed like the rest of the protocol.

being tested at scaleregulatorsmall cost
Diversity action plans with consequences: unmet targets trigger post-approval requirements

Companies now have to file a plan for enrolling a representative mix of patients. If the trial misses the plan, the label should say so and the company should be required to fill the gap after approval.

early clinicalindustrysmall cost
Drop the 'must speak English' rule: translated consent and questionnaires as standard

Many trials quietly exclude people who do not speak the local language because consent forms and questionnaires exist only in that language. Providing translations and interpreters for the commonest languages would fix this.

speculativeclinicsmall cost
Evening and weekend trial clinics for working-age patients

Trial visits happen on weekdays during working hours, which excludes many people with jobs or caring duties. Running research clinics in the evening and at weekends is a simple test of whether that matters.

early clinicalindustrysmall cost
Fix the neutrophil count rule that excludes many people of African ancestry

Many healthy people of African descent have naturally lower white-cell counts because of a common genetic variant. Trials use a single cut-off that wrongly labels them unfit, so they are turned away. The rule should be adjusted for this variant.

early clinicalphilanthropymedium cost
Fund investigators from under-represented communities and community sites to lead trials

Patients are more likely to join a trial when the doctor offering it looks like them or works in their community. Funding more such doctors to become trial leaders would change who is enrolled.

being tested at scaleclinicmedium cost
Geriatric assessment by default for every older patient, and trials that admit them

Most cancer patients are over 65, yet treatment is chosen by age and guesswork and trials exclude them. Assess fitness properly and design trials that include real older patients.

early clinicalindustrymedium cost
Home infusion and local blood draws for trial drugs after the first cycles

Once a patient has safely had the first few doses of a trial drug at the hospital, later doses could be given at home or a local clinic, with blood tests done nearby, so distance no longer decides who can join.

early clinicalphilanthropymedium cost
Lay trial navigators funded per centre, evaluated in a randomised trial

A trained non-clinical guide who explains trials, arranges logistics and keeps in touch could make the difference between a patient hearing about a trial and actually joining one.

early clinicalregulatorsmall cost
Let adolescents from age 12 into adult trials when the cancer biology is the same

Teenagers with cancers that are really adult cancers, like melanoma or sarcoma, are barred from adult trials by an age line at 18. Letting them in from age 12, where biology and dosing allow, would give them access years earlier.

being tested at scalepolicymedium cost
Lung screening eligibility by risk score, not pack-years, including high-risk never-smokers

Pack-year rules miss many people who get lung cancer, including East Asian women who never smoked. A risk score with family history and ancestry would find more cancers per scan.

early clinicalregulatorsmall cost
Make sponsors justify every trial exclusion of older and multimorbid patients

Most cancer patients are over 65 and many have other illnesses, yet trials routinely exclude them. Regulators should require sponsors to justify each exclusion, so the evidence matches the patients.

speculativeregulatormedium cost
Mandatory real-world reporting for patients excluded from pivotal trials

Older, frailer and sicker patients are usually kept out of trials but make up most of those treated. Require companies to report how these patients do in practice.

speculativeregulatorsmall cost
Mandatory subgroup performance reporting for cancer AI

Every AI tool would have to report how well it works for women and men, different ethnic groups, ages, scanner types and hospitals, not just an overall score.

speculativephilanthropymedium cost
Mobile research units bring trial visits to rural towns

A van equipped for blood draws, ECGs, questionnaires and drug hand-over could visit rural towns on a schedule so trial participants there do not have to travel hours each cycle.

early clinicalregulatorsmall cost
One multiregional trial, no bridging studies: enforce ICH E17 in Japan and China

Japan and China have often required extra local studies before accepting a global trial. Committing to accept well-designed global trials would bring drugs to Asian patients years earlier.

early clinicalindustrysmall cost
Paid community advisory boards with power to change protocol burden

Before a trial is finalised, a paid panel of patients and community members from the groups the trial needs would review it and could require changes to visit schedules, procedures and materials that would deter people like them.

early clinicalindustrymedium cost
Parallel real-world cohorts for sicker patients alongside every pivotal trial

Instead of excluding sicker patients entirely, trials would run a side group for them, receiving the new drug with closer monitoring, so we learn how it behaves in the people who will actually get it.

speculativepolicymedium cost
Pay trial participants for their time, not only their expenses

Trial visits take hours and cost people wages. Paying a fair hourly rate for time spent beyond normal care would make trials possible for those who cannot afford unpaid days off.

speculativedatasmall cost
Pick the laboratory model that matches the patient, not the one to hand

Labs usually use whichever tumour models they already have. A searchable index that finds the model closest to a specific patient's tumour would make experiments more relevant.

early clinicalindustrylarge cost
Pivotal trials include sites in Africa, South Asia and Latin America, sponsor-funded

Most of the world's cancer patients live in countries that host almost no registrational trials. Including sites there, and paying to build them up, would make results apply globally and speed local access.

speculativeregulatormedium cost
Post-marketing safety monitoring stratified by ancestry and sex, with label updates

Once a drug is in wide use, real-world records could be checked routinely for whether side effects differ by ancestry or sex, since trials were too small in those groups to notice. Findings would go into the label.

speculativeregulatorsmall cost
Print the participation-to-prevalence ratio in every drug label and assessment report

A drug's label should say plainly how well the people in its trials matched the people who get the disease: 'Black patients were 4 percent of participants and 22 percent of cases.' Doctors and patients can then judge how far to trust the result.

speculativeindustrysmall cost
Remove blanket exclusions for mental illness and dementia; support consent instead

People with serious mental illness or dementia are routinely excluded from cancer trials, though they get cancer just as often and do worse. Supported consent and reasonable accommodations would let many take part.

early clinicalindustrysmall cost
Set trial enrolment targets from who actually gets the disease, and publish progress live

Each trial would set its target mix of patients from cancer registry data on who gets that cancer, by age, sex and ethnicity, and show a public running tally so gaps are visible while there is still time to fix them.

speculativeclinicsmall cost
Stomach cancer serology screening for high-risk migrant communities in low-incidence countries

People who grew up in East Asia, Eastern Europe or Latin America keep a high stomach cancer risk after migrating. Cheap blood tests could select who needs an endoscopy.

early clinicalindustrysmall cost
Stop excluding people with a prior cancer, controlled HIV, or treated hepatitis

Having had another cancer years ago, or living with well-controlled HIV or hepatitis, still keeps many people out of trials for no good scientific reason. Removing these blanket bans would widen access, especially in communities where these conditions are more common.

speculativeregulatorsmall cost
Stop over-excluding people who could become pregnant; study pregnancy exposure

Trials often impose heavy contraception rules and exclude anyone pregnant or breastfeeding, even when the drug is unlikely to be harmful. Sensible, evidence-based rules and pregnancy registries would include more young women and produce data they currently lack.

being tested at scaleindustrymedium cost
Travel, lodging and meals reimbursed as a standard line in every trial budget

People should not have to pay to be in a trial. Sponsors would routinely cover travel, hotel and food costs, paid up front rather than claimed back, which is already accepted by regulators as fair rather than coercive.

Key papers

4top
rctThe Lancet 2025
HARMONi-2: ivonescimab, a PD-1 x VEGF bispecific, beats pembrolizumab head-to-head in PD-L1-positive lung cancer

For the first time a new drug has beaten pembrolizumab, the global first-line standard, in a randomised lung cancer trial, and it did so by combining checkpoint blockade with anti-angiogenesis in one molecule. For patients outside China nothing changes yet: the drug is not approved in the West, the trial was single-country, and survival benefit has not been shown. If confirmed in the global HARMONi-3 and HARMONi-7 trials, PD-1 x VEGF bispecifics could replace PD-1 antibodies as the immunotherapy backbone.

rctThe Lancet 2024changed practice
SPEARHEAD-1: afamitresgene autoleucel, the first engineered T-cell receptor therapy approved for a solid tumour, in synovial sarcoma

Patients with advanced synovial sarcoma, a rare cancer of young adults with few effective drugs, now have an approved cell therapy that produces responses lasting about a year in a substantial minority, if their tissue type and tumour antigen match. It proves that engineered T cells can work against a solid tumour when a good target is present, which had been elusive. It is not a cure for most, requires specialised centres, and only a minority of patients are eligible.

meta analysisJNCI: Journal of the National Cancer Institute 2019
Unger: most patients never get the chance to join a cancer trial, and when offered, half say yes

Patients are not the bottleneck; trial access is. Bringing trials to community practices, loosening restrictive eligibility criteria and reducing site burden would do more for enrolment than patient education. Trials today reflect the minority of patients who happen to be treated where trials exist.

basicCell 2018
TCGA Pan-Cancer Atlas: 10,000 tumours across 33 cancer types, classified by molecular features

Cancers are defined as much by the tissue they come from as by the mutations they carry, which is why the same drug can work in one organ and fail in another with the same mutation. TCGA is the shared public dataset behind most modern biomarkers and target discovery.

Connected

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technologies

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companies

3

institutions

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terms

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ideas

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A global open trials operating system any hospital can plug intoA health-literacy certification standard for oncology portals, letters and appsA mandatory over-70s cohort with geriatric assessment in every pivotal trialA paid patient navigator for every new cancer diagnosis, reimbursed as a serviceA public equity index for trial sites and sponsors, tied to fundingA public map of trial deserts to steer where new sites openA trials fund reserved for older and multimorbid patientsAnalyse and dose by sex: women get more toxicity from many cancer drugs at the same doseAncestry-aware pharmacology: drug-level sub-studies across populations before approvalAt least a third of pivotal-trial sites in community and rural settingsBuild polygenic scores that work in every ancestry before deploying anyBurden-matched funding for trials led in low- and middle-income countriesCommunity health workers and trusted local organisations paid to recruit for trialsDedicated cohorts for patients with performance status 2 in first-line trialsDefault-inclusive eligibility: sponsors must justify every exclusion criterionDiversity action plans with consequences: unmet targets trigger post-approval requirementsDrop the 'must speak English' rule: translated consent and questionnaires as standardEvening and weekend trial clinics for working-age patientsFix the neutrophil count rule that excludes many people of African ancestryFund investigators from under-represented communities and community sites to lead trialsGeriatric assessment by default for every older patient, and trials that admit themHome infusion and local blood draws for trial drugs after the first cyclesLay trial navigators funded per centre, evaluated in a randomised trialLet adolescents from age 12 into adult trials when the cancer biology is the sameLung screening eligibility by risk score, not pack-years, including high-risk never-smokersMake sponsors justify every trial exclusion of older and multimorbid patientsMandatory real-world reporting for patients excluded from pivotal trialsMandatory subgroup performance reporting for cancer AIMobile research units bring trial visits to rural townsOne multiregional trial, no bridging studies: enforce ICH E17 in Japan and ChinaPaid community advisory boards with power to change protocol burdenParallel real-world cohorts for sicker patients alongside every pivotal trialPay trial participants for their time, not only their expensesPick the laboratory model that matches the patient, not the one to handPivotal trials include sites in Africa, South Asia and Latin America, sponsor-fundedPost-marketing safety monitoring stratified by ancestry and sex, with label updatesPrint the participation-to-prevalence ratio in every drug label and assessment reportRemove blanket exclusions for mental illness and dementia; support consent insteadSet trial enrolment targets from who actually gets the disease, and publish progress liveStomach cancer serology screening for high-risk migrant communities in low-incidence countriesStop excluding people with a prior cancer, controlled HIV, or treated hepatitisStop over-excluding people who could become pregnant; study pregnancy exposureTravel, lodging and meals reimbursed as a standard line in every trial budget

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key papers

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