OnCo
trialsTrialCompleted

RTOG 0129 (HPV analysis)

The analysis that showed HPV-positive throat cancers are a different, far more curable disease, launching two decades of de-escalation research.

Ang et al., NEJM 2010: 3-year OS 82.4% for HPV-positive vs 57.1% for HPV-negative oropharyngeal cancer; HPV status was the strongest prognostic factor, with tobacco exposure modifying it. Led to a separate AJCC staging system for HPV-positive disease (8th edition) and the de-escalation trials that followed.

Setting
Stage III-IV oropharyngeal and other HNSCC: accelerated vs standard fractionation chemoradiation; retrospective HPV analysis
Phase
Phase 3
Sponsor
RTOG / NCI
Registry
Headline result
3-year OS 82.4% (HPV+) vs 57.1% (HPV-).
Reported
2010
Enrolled
743
Replication
Replicated across TROG, DAHANCA, and De-ESCALaTE cohorts.

Outcomes

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In plain words
What these results mean for people, not percentages
743 people took part
Overall survival at 3 years by HPV statussurvival endpoint
  • 82.4 vs 57.1 out of 100 alive at 3 years with HPV-positive compared with HPV-negative; 25.3 more per 100.
  • Roughly one extra person helped for every 4 treated. That is a rough figure taken from the two percentages, not a guarantee for any one person.
  • Overall survival counts deaths from any cause, so it is the most direct measure of whether a treatment helps people live longer.
  • These results apply to the people the trial enrolled: Stage III-IV oropharyngeal and other HNSCC: accelerated vs standard fractionation chemoradiation; retrospective HPV analysis. People in a different situation may not see the same effect.

Numbers are from the trial as recorded here; see the source links in the table below. This is orientation, not medical advice: ask your team how closely the trial population matches you.

743 participants enrolled.

Overall survival at 3 years by HPV status
HPV-positive82.4 of 100
HPV-negative57.1 of 100
Source
EndpointArmnValueHR (95% CI)pSource
Overall survival at 3 years by HPV statusHPV-positive82.4%link
HPV-negative57.1%
Replication
Replicated across TROG, DAHANCA, and De-ESCALaTE cohorts.

Connected

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